Cerezo Osakavs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerezo Osaka · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Tokyo Verdy, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Original prediction
Cerezo Osaka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 51.6% | 50.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.8% | 27.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 21.6% | 22.5% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Projected Score
Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Tokyo Verdy
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Cerezo Osaka
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Cerezo Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cerezo OsakaWLWWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Tokyo VerdyLLWDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cerezo OsakaTokyo Verdy
33.3Attack13.3
66.7Defence46.7
60.0Form13.3
55.4Power28.4
1.43xG0.74