Cerezo OsakavsShimizu S-pulse

Cerezo Osaka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shimizu S-pulse are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shimizu S-pulse hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the J1 League, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.