Cerezo Osakavs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 2/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cerezo Osaka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80