Cerezo Osakavs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerezo Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cerezo Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the J1 League, while Cerezo Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerezo Osaka
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
12.9%
Cerezo Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40