GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tokyo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tokyo hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the J-League Cup, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tokyo

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo OsakaLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
FC TokyoLDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo
11.1Attack41.7
55.6Defence70.8
27.8Form54.2
34.5Power55.1
0.72xG1.17
View match centre →