Cerezo Osakavs
FC Tokyo
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerezo Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cerezo Osaka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the J1 League, while Cerezo Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerezo Osaka
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Cerezo Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00