Cerezo Osakavs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.2%
Model confidence
13.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cerezo OsakaWDWWW
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Fagiano OkayamaWDLWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
51.7Attack45.0
63.3Defence56.7
51.7Form46.7
56.1Power50.8
1.46xG0.89