GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avispa Fukuoka

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo OsakaDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Avispa FukuokaDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cerezo OsakaAvispa Fukuoka
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
42.7Power59.3
1.22xG1.41
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