GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/15/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cercle Brugge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cercle Brugge are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Molde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cercle Brugge hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Cercle Brugge holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cercle Brugge

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Cercle Brugge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cercle BruggeWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MoldeWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cercle BruggeMolde
25.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
58.3Form38.9
53.0Power45.5
1.58xG1.35
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