Cercle Bruggevs
Lommel United
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cercle Brugge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel United
Original prediction
Cercle Brugge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 60.7% | 39.8% | -20.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 21.4% | 25.1% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.9% | 35.1% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cercle Brugge
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Cercle Brugge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40