GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/1/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cercle Brugge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cercle Brugge are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cercle Brugge hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Cercle Brugge holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cercle Brugge

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Cercle Brugge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cercle BruggeLDLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KilmarnockDWWLW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Cercle BruggeKilmarnock
25.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
58.3Form16.7
53.0Power36.5
1.25xG0.97
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