Cercle Bruggevs
Gent
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cercle Brugge 0-3 Gent
Original prediction
Gent
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 33.2% | 27.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 27.0% | 25.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.8% | 46.4% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cercle BruggeLLDDD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GentWWWDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cercle BruggeGent
41.7Attack58.3
41.7Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power84.6
1.06xG1.77