GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/5/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cercle Brugge are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Charleroi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleroi hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Charleroi holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charleroi

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cercle BruggeLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CharleroiDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cercle BruggeCharleroi
83.3Attack100.0
16.7Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
48.3Power88.7
1.53xG1.83
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