Cercle Bruggevs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cercle Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht
Original prediction
Anderlecht
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.8% | 24.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.5% | 26.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 47.7% | 49.1% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40