Cercle Brugge IIvs
Tienen
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tienen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cercle Brugge II 1-3 Tienen
Original prediction
Tienen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 44.9% | 36.1% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.3% | 25.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 28.8% | 38.1% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Tienen
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Tienen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60