Cercle Brugge IIvs
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cercle Brugge II 2-1 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Original prediction
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.9% | 36.1% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 24.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.2% | 39.2% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60