Cercle Brugge IIvs
Hoogstraten
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoogstraten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cercle Brugge II 1-4 Hoogstraten
Original prediction
Hoogstraten
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.7% | 35.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.5% | 23.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 40.8% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Hoogstraten
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Hoogstraten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20