GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 10/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ceramica Cleopatra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 Petrojet

Original prediction

Ceramica Cleopatra

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8549.6%51.1%1.5 pts
Draw3.1928.8%25.0%-3.8 pts
Away4.2621.6%23.9%2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Ceramica Cleopatra

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Ceramica Cleopatra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ceramica CleopatraLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PetrojetDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Ceramica CleopatraPetrojet
61.1Attack55.6
61.1Defence44.4
66.7Form44.4
63.3Power51.1
1.83xG1.08
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