GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/9/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Central Valley Fuego are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Union Omaha are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (35.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central Valley FuegoWLL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.33/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Union OmahaDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Central Valley FuegoUnion Omaha
37.5Attack56.7
36.5Defence63.3
24.0Form68.3
35.7Power64.7
0.81xG2.17
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