Central Stallionsvs
Khovd Western
COMPLETEDMongolia · Premier League · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Stallions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Stallions 8-4 Khovd Western
Original prediction
Central Stallions
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 85.5% | 65.5% | -20.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.47 | 9.6% | 17.9% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 18.67 | 4.9% | 16.6% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Central Stallions
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Central Stallions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/4.00