Central Stallionsvs
Deren
COMPLETEDMongolia · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Stallions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Stallions 2-1 Deren
Original prediction
Central Stallions
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.7% | 47.2% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.1% | 21.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.2% | 31.8% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Central Stallions
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Central Stallions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 6 · avg 5.00/1.20
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20