GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Central Norte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central NorteLDLWW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ciudad de BolívarWDWDD

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Central NorteCiudad de Bolívar
21.7Attack29.2
65.2Defence70.8
33.3Form47.2
42.8Power51.6
0.40xG0.58
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