GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Central Norte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico Mitre are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Mitre hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central NorteLWWDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico MitreLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Central NorteAtletico Mitre
21.7Attack33.3
65.2Defence61.1
33.3Form38.9
42.8Power46.0
0.55xG0.65
View match centre →