Central Espanolvs
Penarol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penarol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Central Espanol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Penarol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penarol
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Penarol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80