GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Central Espanol are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Maldonado

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

14.6%

Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central EspanolDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MaldonadoWLWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Central EspanolDeportivo Maldonado
40.6Attack55.1
62.3Defence65.2
52.2Form60.9
53.4Power61.9
0.88xG1.16
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