Central Espanolvs
Defensor Sporting
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 5/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Central Espanol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80