GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Central Espanol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Primera División, while Central Espanol holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Central Espanol

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

20.2%

Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central EspanolDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro LargoLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Central EspanolCerro Largo
40.6Attack34.8
62.3Defence63.8
52.2Form42.0
53.4Power48.3
0.96xG0.70
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