Argentina · Reserve League · 9/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newell's Old Boys Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Central Córdoba SdE Res. 0-1 Newell's Old Boys Res., with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1-1 Newell's Old Boys Res.
Original prediction
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.1% | 26.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 29.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.2% | 43.5% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Projected Score
Central Córdoba SdE Res. 0–1 Newell's Old Boys Res.
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Newell's Old Boys Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00