Argentina · Reserve League · 10/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belgrano Córdoba Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1-2 Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Original prediction
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.3% | 29.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.8% | 29.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.0% | 41.3% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Belgrano Córdoba Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60