Central African Republicvs
Burkina Faso
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burkina Faso · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso
Original prediction
Burkina Faso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.81 | 10.4% | 27.9% | 17.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.8% | 27.2% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 67.8% | 44.9% | -22.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Burkina Faso
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Burkina Faso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40