Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celtic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Utrecht are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.6 against 47.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60