Celticvs
Sturm Graz
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celtic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celtic holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20