GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Celtic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while ST Johnstone are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (92.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Premiership, while Celtic holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celtic

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CelticLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ST JohnstoneLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CelticST Johnstone
100.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
92.8Power53.0
2.03xG1.10
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