Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celtic are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SC Braga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.6 against 47.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Braga holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00