Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celtic 0-1 Rangers
Original prediction
Celtic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 44.3% | 51.2% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.8% | 25.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.9% | 23.2% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CelticLLWWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RangersWWWWW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CelticRangers
77.8Attack38.9
83.3Defence77.8
100.0Form72.2
87.9Power66.5
1.56xG0.76