Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celtic are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lask Linz are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lask Linz hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (25.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the UEFA Champions League, while Lask Linz holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lask Linz
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
10.9%
Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 17 · GA 1 · avg 3.40/0.20