Celticvs
Heart Of Midlothian
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celtic 7-1 Heart Of Midlothian
Original prediction
Celtic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 59.3% | 48.8% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 21.2% | 23.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 19.5% | 27.4% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80