Celticvs
Ferencvarosi TC
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celtic 1-3 Ferencvarosi TC
Original prediction
Ferencvarosi TC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 56.1% | 25.0% | -31.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 23.4% | 19.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 20.5% | 55.5% | 35.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 3.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
35.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Ferencvarosi TC
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60