Celticvs
Celta Vigo
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo
Original prediction
Celtic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 35.4% | 36.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 27.3% | 27.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 37.4% | 36.0% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CelticWLWLL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Celta VigoWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CelticCelta Vigo
33.3Attack16.7
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form0.0
17.3Power26.7
1.41xG1.36