Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Celtic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while AS Roma are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80