Celtic IIvs
East Kilbride
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 8/2/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Celtic II are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while East Kilbride are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic II hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Challenge Cup, while Celtic II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celtic II
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Celtic II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80