GGOALVIO

Scotland · Football League - Lowland League · 7/29/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celtic II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Celtic II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cowdenbeath are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic II hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.9% in the Football League - Lowland League, while Celtic II holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celtic II

Probability

67.9%

Model confidence

67.9%

Celtic II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Celtic IIWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CowdenbeathLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Celtic IICowdenbeath
100.0Attack16.7
40.0Defence41.7
66.7Form0.0
67.1Power23.7
3.00xG1.26
View match centre →