Celtic IIvs
Caledonian Braves
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 10/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celtic II 0-1 Caledonian Braves
Original prediction
Celtic II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.8% | 46.7% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.6% | 19.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.6% | 34.0% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–36%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Celtic II
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Celtic II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80