Celtic IIvs
Auchinleck Talbot
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auchinleck Talbot · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celtic II 2-2 Auchinleck Talbot
Original prediction
Auchinleck Talbot
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.5% | 32.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.4% | 21.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.1% | 45.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Auchinleck Talbot
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Auchinleck Talbot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60
GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00