Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Home
L
10
Full time
Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Sporting Gijon33%
Celta Vigo33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Celta Vigo
33%
Draw
33%
Sporting Gijon
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Celta Vigo)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Celta Vigo)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Celta Vigo33%
Draw33%
Sporting Gijon33%

Sporting Gijon leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Celta Vigo head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Sporting Gijon arrive in unknown form.

Celta Vigo have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Sporting Gijon have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Celta Vigo and Sporting Gijon in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Celta Vigo 3333%, Draw 3333%, Sporting Gijon 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

L
vs Levante
12 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more