GGOALVIO

Celta Vigo logoCelta VigovsSC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/16/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Celta Vigo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Celta VigoLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SC FreiburgWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Celta VigoSC Freiburg
52.4Attack70.0
54.8Defence53.3
54.8Form63.3
55.5Power60.4
1.55xG1.77
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