Celta Vigovs
Real Betis
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/25/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celta Vigo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celta Vigo 0-0 Real Betis
Original prediction
Celta Vigo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 30.5% | 38.0% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.9% | 28.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 41.6% | 33.4% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Celta Vigo
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00