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Celta Vigo logoCelta VigovsNice logoNice

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World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celta Vigo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Celta Vigo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nice are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta Vigo hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 28.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celta Vigo holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celta Vigo

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

68.9%

Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Celta VigoDDWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
NiceWDLDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Celta VigoNice
52.4Attack29.2
54.8Defence33.3
54.8Form12.5
55.5Power28.3
2.32xG0.75
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