Celta VigovsLyon

Celta Vigo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lyon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.