GGOALVIO

Celta Vigo logoCelta VigovsLille logoLille

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World · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celta Vigo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Celta Vigo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lille are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta Vigo hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celta Vigo holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celta Vigo

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Celta VigoWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LilleLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Celta VigoLille
52.4Attack36.1
54.8Defence63.9
54.8Form41.7
55.5Power48.5
1.25xG0.88
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