Celta Vigovs
Lille
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celta Vigo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Celta Vigo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lille are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta Vigo hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celta Vigo holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celta Vigo
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80